Fact based stock research
Capitol Federal Financial (NasdaqGS:CFFN)

US14057J1016

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Capitol Federal Financial stock research in summary

ir.capfed.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Capitol Federal Financial (Thrifts & Mortgage Finance, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Capitol Federal Financial are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 76 (better than 76% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 64, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 42, is a hold recommendation based on Capitol Federal Financial's financial characteristics. As the company Capitol Federal Financial's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 76) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 64), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 76% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	76
Growth Rank	11
Safety Rank	64
Combined Rank	42

Country	USA
Industry	Thrifts & Mortgage Finance
Index	Dividends USA, Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ
Size class	XX-Large

18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Capitol Federal Financial

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	21	31	56	76
GROWTH
GROWTH	14	11	27	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	10	65	8	64
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	11	36	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	9	20	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 18-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Capitol Federal Financial is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	21	31	56	76
GROWTH
GROWTH	14	11	27	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	10	65	8	64
COMBINED
COMBINED	1	17	22	42

Last update of combined financial performance: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Capitol Federal Financial the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Capitol Federal Financial shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Capitol Federal Financial. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 90% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 90), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 79, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 79% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 18 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 82% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Capitol Federal Financial's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Capitol Federal Financial with a rank of 43. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 57% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Capitol Federal Financial's profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 76, is a buy recommendation based on Capitol Federal Financial's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Capitol Federal Financial may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	2	9	13	18
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	6	11	27	43
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	38	49	80	79
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	79	79	88	90
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	21	31	56	76

Last update of Value Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Capitol Federal Financial; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), Capitol Federal Financial shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Capitol Federal Financial. While Sales Growth ranks at 69, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 69% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 11, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 89% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 9. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 13 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 87% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	24	56	94	69
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	92	27	17	11
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	42	21	9
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	21	3	11	13
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	14	11	27	11

Last update of Growth Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Capitol Federal Financial.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with alternatives), the company Capitol Federal Financial has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Capitol Federal Financial is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Capitol Federal Financial. Leverage is at a rank of 76, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 76% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 100, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 100% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 1, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with alternatives), Capitol Federal Financial has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Capitol Federal Financial. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Capitol Federal Financial and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	10	62	73	76
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	83	89	4	1
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	7	17	1	100
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	10	65	8	64

Last update of Safety Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Capitol Federal Financial and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	1	31	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	45	66	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	28	35	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	11	36	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Capitol Federal Financial.
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