December 21, 2023
Top 10 Stock Brambles Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Brambles – Top 10 Stock in Australian Securities Exchange Index ASX 100
Brambles is listed as a top 10 stock on December 21, 2023 in the market index ASX 100 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, the professional market sentiment is positive and it may be a solid investment proposition, especially if a growth recovery is to be expected soon. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 32 (32% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Brambles on December 21, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Brambles Hold
| 360 METRICS | December 21, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 76 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 17 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 6 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 76 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 32 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Brambles are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Brambles. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 76, which means that the share price of Brambles is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 76% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 76, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 76% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 17, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 6, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 94 comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 32, Brambles is worse than 68% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, but the other half are below market levels. The company enjoys a good value (Value Rank of 76) and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 76), but growth expectations are below-average (Growth Rank of 17) and the financing structure is on the risky side(Safety Rank of 6). This combination is rather dangerous, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. The current low growth level may be temporary, because professionals are actually optimistic (positive sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. Companies with less growth typically have a lower price than fast-growing competitors. Even though professional investor sentiment is strong, we recommend further evaluating whether the future of Brambles is as challenging as the stock's low price suggests. Since the professional community is optimistic, the stock might just be going through a more challenging phase now, indicating that timing might be good now. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Brambles very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Brambles is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Brambles. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 32 (worse than 68% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 58, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Brambles. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 94, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 94% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 69, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 69% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 76 (more positive than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Brambles has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Brambles Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Brambles shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Brambles. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 62, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 62% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Brambles's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 80% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 90 (dividends are expected to be higher than 90% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 60% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Brambles to 40. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 76, is a buy recommendation based on Brambles's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Brambles Growth Momentum negative
| GROWTH METRICS | December 21, 2023 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 21 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 27 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 22 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 65 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 17 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), Brambles shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Brambles. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 21, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 79% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 22, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 27. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 73% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 65, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 65% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Brambles, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Brambles Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | December 21, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 7 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 10 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 36 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 6 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), the company Brambles has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Brambles is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Brambles. Liquidity is at 36, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 64% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 7, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 93% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 10 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 90% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with alternatives), Brambles has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Brambles Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | December 21, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 76 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 17 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 36 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 12 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 12 (worse than 88% compared with investment alternatives), Brambles (Diversified Support Services, Australia) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Brambles are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 76 (better than 76% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 6), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation based on Brambles's financial characteristics. As the company Brambles's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 76) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 6), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 76% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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