August 31, 2023
Top 10 Stock African Rainbow Minerals Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: African Rainbow Minerals – Top 10 Stock in Johannesburg Securities Exchange All Shares Index JSE All Shares
African Rainbow Minerals is listed as a top 10 stock on August 31, 2023 in the market index JSE All Shares because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 85 (top 85% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for African Rainbow Minerals on August 31, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Diversified Metals & Mining |
| Index | Iron, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View African Rainbow Minerals Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | August 31, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 77 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 31 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 94 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 57 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 85 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock African Rainbow Minerals are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for African Rainbow Minerals. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 77, which means that the share price of African Rainbow Minerals is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 77% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 94. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 57. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 31, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 69 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 85, African Rainbow Minerals is better positioned than 85% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 77), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 94), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 57). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company’s growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 31), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good Value Rank could indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of African Rainbow Minerals is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for African Rainbow Minerals positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock African Rainbow Minerals is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for African Rainbow Minerals. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 59 (better than 59% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Market Pulse is also positive with a rank of 66, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 66% of competitors). But Analyst Opinions Change is negative with a below 50 rank of 37, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse in recommending the company. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in African Rainbow Minerals. There are also only so many institutional investors holding company stock with a Professional Investors rank of 37, which means that, currently, professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 63% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 57 (more positive than 57% compared with investment alternatives), African Rainbow Minerals has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. The signals are ambivalent. The positive news in the market contradicts the negative change in analyst recommendations. Since the overall analyst recommendations are still above average, the stock may be safer for investing, especially if it is not an extra-large company where Pros tend to be less present. In such a case, the Pro Investor rank is not a problem. ...read more
Value Strategy: African Rainbow Minerals Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2023, African Rainbow Minerals shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for African Rainbow Minerals. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 95 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 95% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning African Rainbow Minerals's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 80, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 96. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 76% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 24). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation based on African Rainbow Minerals's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that African Rainbow Minerals has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing African Rainbow Minerals shares. ...read more
Growth Strategy: African Rainbow Minerals Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), African Rainbow Minerals shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for African Rainbow Minerals. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 55, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 32% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 39 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 61% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 32 and Stock Returns with a rank of 27 are also low (below 73% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for African Rainbow Minerals is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: African Rainbow Minerals Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | August 31, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 89 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 81 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 76 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 94 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company African Rainbow Minerals has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of African Rainbow Minerals is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for African Rainbow Minerals. Leverage is at 89, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 89% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 81, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 76, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives), African Rainbow Minerals has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: African Rainbow Minerals Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 31, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 77 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 31 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 76 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 92 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), African Rainbow Minerals (Diversified Metals & Mining, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of African Rainbow Minerals are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 94, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 31). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on African Rainbow Minerals's financial characteristics. As the company African Rainbow Minerals's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 77) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 31) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 94), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 77% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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