May 18, 2023
Top 10 Stock ARC Resource Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: ARC Resource – Top 10 Stock in Oil & Gas Mining and Production
ARC Resource is listed as a top 10 stock on May 18, 2023 in the market index Oil & Gas because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, including positive market sentiment in the professional investor community, it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 95 (top 95% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for ARC Resource on May 18, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Production |
| Index | Oil & Gas, TSX Composite |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment ARC Resource Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 65 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 75 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 71 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 81 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 95 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock ARC Resource are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all four indicators above average for ARC Resource. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 65, which means that the share price of ARC Resource is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 65% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 75, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 71. Finally, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 81. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 95, ARC Resource is better than 95% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 65), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75), an indication that the company is safely financed (Safety Rank of 71) and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 81), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited and disappointments are less likely to occur, unless information not publicly available. High-Value Ranks sometimes indicate that the company's future is challenging. If they are safely financed and have above average growth, and are still a good value, it may indicate that this will not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of ARC Resource is as difficult as the stock’s low price, despite what good growth and safe financing practice suggest. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock is just not sufficiently visible, which may indicate good timing right now. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for ARC Resource very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock ARC Resource is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for ARC Resource. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 92 (better than 92% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in ARC Resource. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 100, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 100% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 81 (more positive than 81% compared with investment alternatives), ARC Resource has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 6, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 94% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for ARC Resource is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: ARC Resource Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), ARC Resource shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for ARC Resource. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 50, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 50% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning ARC Resource's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 63% of alternatives. Finally, it is true for expected dividend yields with an Dividend Yield rank of 71 (dividends are expected to be higher than 71% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 60% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for ARC Resource to 40. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 65, is a BUY recommendation based on ARC Resource's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. ...read more
Growth Strategy: ARC Resource Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2023, ARC Resource shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for ARC Resource. Profit Growth has a rank of 54 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 54% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 80, and Stock Returns has a rank of 83 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 83% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 24 (76% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 75, is a BUY recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: ARC Resource Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 72 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 39 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 83 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 71 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), the company ARC Resource has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of ARC Resource is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for ARC Resource. Leverage is at a rank of 72, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 72% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 83, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 83% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 39, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 61% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), ARC Resource has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for ARC Resource. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: ARC Resource Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 65 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 75 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 83 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 91 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with investment alternatives), ARC Resource (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of ARC Resource are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 65 (better than 65% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 71), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 91, is a strong buy recommendation based on ARC Resource's financial characteristics. As the company ARC Resource's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 65), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 71), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of ARC Resource. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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