May 25, 2023
Top 10 Stock AngloGold Ashanti Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: AngloGold Ashanti – Top 10 Stock in Copper Mining and Production
AngloGold Ashanti is listed as a top 10 stock on May 25, 2023 in the market index Copper because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only one consolidated Obermatt Rank is above-average. The company is growing above average, but all other facts speak against a stock purchase, especially the low market sentiment by professional investors. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 32 (32% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for AngloGold Ashanti on May 25, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Gold Production |
| Index | Copper, Gold, Independent Boards Growth Markets, Low Waste, Recycling, Silver, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment AngloGold Ashanti Hold
| 360 METRICS | May 25, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 29 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 95 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 24 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 27 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 32 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock AngloGold Ashanti are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for AngloGold Ashanti. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 95, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. It ranks higher than 95% of competitors in the same industry. The other indicators are below average, namely the Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks.The Value Rank at 29 means that the share price of AngloGold Ashanti is on the high side compared with its peer regarding revenues, profits, and invested capital. The stock price is higher than 71% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 24, which means that the company has a riskier financing structure than 76% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 27, indicating professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 73% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 32, AngloGold Ashanti is worse than 68% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits excellent performance, namely the above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95), it is a riskier stock investment proposition. Aside from the critical professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 27), the company is rather risky when it comes to financing (Safety Rank of 24). The negative market view on AngloGold Ashanti may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to join the party, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. While it is typical for growth companies to have low value, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that are expected to have high growth, the crucial question is: how much more do you pay for the stock of AngloGold Ashanti compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value (even though it is lower than 50). As market sentiment is critical, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company's future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for AngloGold Ashanti only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock AngloGold Ashanti is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and the other half above average for AngloGold Ashanti. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 13 (worse than 87% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 44, which means that stock research experts are getting more pessimistic. It doesn't end with the analysts. Market Pulse is also low with a rank of 32, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 68% of competitors). On the upside, the Professional Investors rank is 68, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 68% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. This could be due to a large company size, which could contribute to the higher share of professional investors in the company. If this is not the case, the low sentiment ranks are more challenging to explain. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 27 (less encouraging than 73% compared with investment alternatives), AngloGold Ashanti has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. Should the company be on the smaller side, the presence of professional investors could be reassuring. That would make AngloGold Ashanti stock something like a hidden gem. Investors should make sure with further research that this is true, because all other sentiment indicators are negative which is a sign for caution. ...read more
Value Strategy: AngloGold Ashanti Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with alternatives), AngloGold Ashanti shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for AngloGold Ashanti. Price-to-Sales is 38 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 62% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning AngloGold Ashanti's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 48, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of AngloGold Ashanti. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 44 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 63% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 29, is a HOLD recommendation based on AngloGold Ashanti's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for AngloGold Ashanti? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as AngloGold Ashanti? It's risky, and even if it continues to grow because of popular demand, it will most likely return to what it's worth. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is reasonable for the company to dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. AngloGold Ashanti may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: AngloGold Ashanti Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2023, AngloGold Ashanti shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for AngloGold Ashanti. Sales Growth has a value of 53, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 53% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 81 and for Capital Growth with 73. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 99, which means they have been higher than 99% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 95, is a BUY recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, AngloGold Ashanti exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future, or if the current performance is only a temporary recovery from a very low point in the company's history, such as a turn-around. In the case of a turn-around situation, the current performance is a positive indicator that the company is on the right track. ...read more
Safety Strategy: AngloGold Ashanti Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | May 25, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 30 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 45 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 39 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 24 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 24 (better than 24% compared with alternatives), the company AngloGold Ashanti has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of AngloGold Ashanti is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for AngloGold Ashanti. Liquidity is at 39, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 30, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 70% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 45 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 55% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 24 (worse than 76% compared with alternatives), AngloGold Ashanti has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: AngloGold Ashanti Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | May 25, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 29 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 95 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 39 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 40 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 40 (worse than 60% compared with investment alternatives), AngloGold Ashanti (Gold Production, South Africa) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of AngloGold Ashanti are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 24, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 40, is a hold recommendation based on AngloGold Ashanti's financial characteristics. As the company AngloGold Ashanti shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 29 (71% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 95% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 95). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than the sluggish variety. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 24 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for AngloGold Ashanti, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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