May 11, 2023
Top 10 Stock AGL Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: AGL – Top 10 Stock in Australian Securities Exchange Index ASX 100
AGL is listed as a top 10 stock on May 11, 2023 in the market index ASX 100 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° Rank of 85 (top 85% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for AGL on May 11, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment AGL Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 91 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 39 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 60 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 57 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 85 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock AGL are very positive. The 360° Rank is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for AGL. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 91, which means that the share price of AGL is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 91% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 60. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 57. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 39, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth, and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 61 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° Rank of 85, AGL is better than 85% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 91), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 60), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 57). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 39), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good value ranking can sometimes indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of AGL is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for AGL positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock AGL is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for AGL. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 67 (better than 67% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 56, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in AGL. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 63, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 63% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 57 (more positive than 57% compared with investment alternatives), AGL has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 19, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 81% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for AGL is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: AGL Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2023, AGL shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for AGL. Price-to-Sales has a value of 78 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 78% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for AGL's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than 73% of alternatives, and it is also true for the Price-to-Book capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with an Obermatt Price-to-Capital Rank of 64. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of AGL are expected to be higher than 86% of all competitors (an Obermatt Dividend Yield rank of 86). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 91, is a strong buy recommendation based on AGL's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in AGL based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: AGL Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), AGL shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for AGL. Profit Growth has a rank of 51 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 51% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 76, and Stock Returns has a rank of 57 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 57% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 12 (88% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 39, is a HOLD recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: AGL Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 64 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 25 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 58 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 60 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), the company AGL has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of AGL is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for AGL. Leverage is at a rank of 64, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 64% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 25, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), AGL has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for AGL. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: AGL Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 91 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 39 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 58 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 88 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with investment alternatives), AGL (Multi-Utilities, Australia) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of AGL are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 60, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 88, is a strong buy recommendation based on AGL's financial characteristics. As the company AGL's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 60), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. The good value, better than 91% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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