January 11, 2024
Top 10 Stock Ageas Sell Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: Ageas – Top 10 Stock in Belgian 20 Index BEL20


ageas.com


Ageas is listed as a top 10 stock on January 11, 2024 in the market index BEL20 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 21 (21% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Ageas on January 11, 2024.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Belgium
Industry Multi-line Insurance
Index BEL20
Size class XX-Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View Ageas Sell

360 METRICS January 11, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 21 (better than 21% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Ageas are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Ageas. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 87, which means that the share price of Ageas is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 87% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 87. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 9. Professional investors are more confident in 91% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 25, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 75 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 21, Ageas is worse than 79% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Ageas shares are on the riskier side for investors. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 87), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 87). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 9), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 25). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Ageas negative

SENTIMENT METRICS January 11, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 9 (better than 9% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Ageas is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Ageas. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 20 (worse than 80% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 76, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Ageas. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 37, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 63% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 3, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 97% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 9 (less encouraging than 91% compared with investment alternatives), Ageas has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more



Value Strategy: Ageas Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS January 11, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Ageas shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Ageas. Price-to-Sales is 54 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 54% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Ageas's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 87% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 79. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Ageas are expected to be higher than for 86% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 86). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation based on Ageas's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Ageas based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: Ageas Growth Momentum low

GROWTH METRICS January 11, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), Ageas shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Ageas. Sales Growth has a rank of 51, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 51% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 55 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 17, and Stock Returns with 25 are also below-average. Stock returns for Ageas have recently been below 75% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Ageas. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. ...read more



Safety Strategy: Ageas Debt Financing Safety very solid

SAFETY METRICS January 11, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2022, the company Ageas has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Ageas is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Ageas and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 62, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 62% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 42, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 46, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 54% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives), Ageas has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Ageas are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: Ageas Top Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE January 11, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Ageas (Multi-line Insurance, Belgium) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Ageas are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 87, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 25). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on Ageas's financial characteristics. As the company Ageas's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 25) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 87), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 87% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more

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