Fact based stock research
AEON Mall (TSE:8905)
JP3131430005
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
AEON Mall stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with investment alternatives), AEON Mall (Real Estate: Operating Services, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of AEON Mall are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 66 (better than 66% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 46), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 15), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on AEON Mall's financial characteristics. As the company AEON Mall's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 66) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 46) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 15), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 66% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Real Estate: Operating Services |
| Index | |
| Size class | Large |
25-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: AEON Mall
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 79 |
|
75 |
|
70 |
|
66 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 50 |
|
71 |
|
85 |
|
46 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 1 |
|
8 |
|
12 |
|
15 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
12 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
25 |
|
53 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with investment alternatives), AEON Mall (Real Estate: Operating Services, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of AEON Mall are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 66 (better than 66% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 46), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 15), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on AEON Mall's financial characteristics. As the company AEON Mall's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 66) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 46) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 15), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 66% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 79 |
|
75 |
|
70 |
|
66 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 50 |
|
71 |
|
85 |
|
46 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 1 |
|
8 |
|
12 |
|
15 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 32 |
|
57 |
|
64 |
|
35 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), AEON Mall shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for AEON Mall. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 85, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 85% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning AEON Mall's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 79% of alternatives (21% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 37 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 63% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 25, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 66, is a buy recommendation based on AEON Mall's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for AEON Mall may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 80 |
|
80 |
|
82 |
|
85 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 62 |
|
63 |
|
51 |
|
25 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 63 |
|
71 |
|
81 |
|
79 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 74 |
|
34 |
|
40 |
|
37 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 79 |
|
75 |
|
70 |
|
66 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), AEON Mall shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for AEON Mall. Sales Growth has a rank of 61 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 61% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 8% of competitors with a rank of 88. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 8, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 92% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 30. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 50 |
|
57 |
|
47 |
|
61 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
100 |
|
93 |
|
8 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
61 |
|
96 |
|
88 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 60 |
|
25 |
|
37 |
|
30 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 50 |
|
71 |
|
85 |
|
46 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), the company AEON Mall has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of AEON Mall is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for AEON Mall. Liquidity is at 51, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 51% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 1, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 36, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 64% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), AEON Mall has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 11 |
|
28 |
|
38 |
|
36 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 4 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 28 |
|
39 |
|
50 |
|
51 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 1 |
|
8 |
|
12 |
|
15 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
3 |
|
25 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
30 |
|
25 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
100 |
|
90 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
24 |
|
33 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
12 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for AEON Mall from April 25, 2024.
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