October 30, 2020

Selling Tesla: Great product - unreasonable investors

Technology stocks are too expensive because they are exposed to major regulatory risks as monopolies due to network effects, as we have said in the last three insights on Google, Amazon and Facebook. With Tesla it is different. Tesla is simply too expensive. I love my own Tesla dearly, but Tesla does not have any notable network effects as I explain in detail in this podcast. The case is similar to Zoom, which I have already discussed and whose stock I sold again.

Without any hope for a monopoly position, it is simply not justifiable why Tesla with one per mil (that is 0.1%) cars on the road should have the same value as the major car manufacturers Toyota, VW, Daimler, BMW, Honda, and GM together. Even Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla, found the stock too expensive in May 2020. In the meantime, it has risen 300% of its value at that time. That is crazy.

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