Fact based stock research
Peyto (TSX:PEY)

CA7170461064

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Peyto stock research in summary

peyto.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with investment alternatives), Peyto (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Peyto are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 64 (better than 64% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 70) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 32), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on Peyto's financial characteristics. As the company Peyto's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 64) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 70), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 32) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	64
Growth Rank	70
Safety Rank	32
Combined Rank	67

Country	Canada
Industry	Oil & Gas Production
Index
Size class	Medium

15-May-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Peyto

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	95	82	74	64
GROWTH
GROWTH	39	21	82	70
SAFETY
SAFETY	37	62	49	32
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	39	77	52	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	57	77	82	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 15-May-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Peyto is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	95	82	74	64
GROWTH
GROWTH	39	21	82	70
SAFETY
SAFETY	37	62	49	32
COMBINED
COMBINED	59	60	87	67

Last update of combined financial performance: 15-May-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Peyto the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with alternatives), Peyto shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Peyto. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 72 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 72% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Peyto's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 45, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 45% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 68% of alternatives (only 32% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 10% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 64, is a buy recommendation based on Peyto's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	56	55	44	32
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	77	63	74	72
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	82	72	67	45
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	91	96	94	90
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	95	82	74	64

Last update of Value Rank: 15-May-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Peyto; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), Peyto shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Peyto. Sales Growth has a rank of 66 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 66% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 94. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 39, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 61% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 40, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 94% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	78	92	72	66
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	35	11	56	40
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	20	1	60	39
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	67	53	76	94
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	39	21	82	70

Last update of Growth Rank: 15-May-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Peyto.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), the company Peyto has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Peyto is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Peyto and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 51, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 51% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 39, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 61% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 23, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 77% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with alternatives), Peyto has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Peyto are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Peyto and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	53	44	38	39
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	27	76	76	51
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	51	49	38	23
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	37	62	49	32

Last update of Safety Rank: 15-May-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Peyto and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	47	34	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	9	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	31	96	100	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	72	44	39	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	39	77	52	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 15-May-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Peyto.
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