Fact based stock research
HF Sinclair (NYSE:HFC)

US4039491000

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

HF Sinclair stock research in summary

hfsinclair.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), HF Sinclair (Oil & Gas Refining, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of HF Sinclair are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 80, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 41). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on HF Sinclair's financial characteristics. As the company HF Sinclair's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 41) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 80), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 91% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	91
Growth Rank	41
Safety Rank	80
Combined Rank	94

Country	USA
Industry	Oil & Gas Refining
Index	Low Emissions, Human Rights, S&P 500
Size class	Large

31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: HF Sinclair

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	93	76	85	91
GROWTH
GROWTH	63	35	1	41
SAFETY
SAFETY	87	98	100	80
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	31	53	41	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	95	82	67	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 31-Jul-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Mar-2025. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better HF Sinclair is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	93	76	85	91
GROWTH
GROWTH	63	35	1	41
SAFETY
SAFETY	87	98	100	80
COMBINED
COMBINED	100	90	77	94

Last update of combined financial performance: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of HF Sinclair the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2025, HF Sinclair shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for HF Sinclair. Price-to-Sales is 80 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 80% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for HF Sinclair's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 55% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 83. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of HF Sinclair are expected to be higher than for 56% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 56). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation based on HF Sinclair's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in HF Sinclair based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	81	77	81	80
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	66	73	48	55
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	86	71	87	83
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	41	43	75	56
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	93	76	85	91

Last update of Value Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of HF Sinclair; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), HF Sinclair shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for HF Sinclair. Profit Growth, with a rank of 89 (better than 89% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 67, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 16, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 84% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 17. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	72	12	8	16
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	75	26	8	89
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	28	87	63	67
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	29	65	9	17
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	63	35	1	41

Last update of Growth Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of HF Sinclair.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2025, the company HF Sinclair has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of HF Sinclair is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for HF Sinclair.Leverage is at 80, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 80% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 92, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 92% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 27, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 73% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives), HF Sinclair has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for HF Sinclair more challenging. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	74	80	85	80
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	87	97	86	92
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	29	84	82	27
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	87	98	100	80

Last update of Safety Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of HF Sinclair and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	18	21	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	16	31	48	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	40	74	31	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	72	71	68	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	31	53	41	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for HF Sinclair.
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