Fact based stock research
Ampol (ASX:CTX)

AU0000088338

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Ampol stock research in summary

ampol.com.au

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Ampol (Oil & Gas Refining, Australia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ampol are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 35), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 11), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation based on Ampol's financial characteristics. As the company Ampol's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 35) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 11), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 69% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	69
Growth Rank	35
Safety Rank	11
Combined Rank	29

Country	Australia
Industry	Oil & Gas Refining
Index	ASX 100, ASX 200, ASX 300, ASX 50, Energy Efficient
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Ampol

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	77	76	73	69
GROWTH
GROWTH	91	27	1	35
SAFETY
SAFETY	32	18	12	11
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	52	42	5	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	85	24	4	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 31-Jul-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Ampol is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	77	76	73	69
GROWTH
GROWTH	91	27	1	35
SAFETY
SAFETY	32	18	12	11
COMBINED
COMBINED	94	32	7	29

Last update of combined financial performance: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Ampol the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Ampol shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Ampol. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 93, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 93% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Ampol's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 52% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 87 (dividends are expected to be higher than 87% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 86% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Ampol to 14. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on Ampol's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	91	89	93	93
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	46	67	53	52
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	26	23	19	14
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	88	90	94	87
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	77	76	73	69

Last update of Value Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Ampol; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 35 (better than 35% compared with alternatives), Ampol shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Ampol. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 79, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 79% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 45, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 55% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 25 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 19 (81% of alternative investments were better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	79	8	12	45
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	61	44	1	79
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	87	27	15	25
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	61	83	25	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	91	27	1	35

Last update of Growth Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Ampol.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), the company Ampol has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Ampol is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Ampol. Liquidity is at 25, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 14, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 86% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 19 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 11 (worse than 89% compared with alternatives), Ampol has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Ampol because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	42	14	8	14
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	33	35	32	19
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	24	26	15	25
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	32	18	12	11

Last update of Safety Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Ampol and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	53	22	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	50	63	6	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	100	42	18	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	58	64	56	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	52	42	5	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Ampol.
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