Fact based stock research
Inpex (TSE:1605)

JP3294460005

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Inpex stock research in summary

inpex.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with investment alternatives), Inpex (Oil & Gas Production, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Inpex are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 70, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on Inpex's financial characteristics. As the company Inpex's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 85) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 70), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 85% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	85
Growth Rank	15
Safety Rank	70
Combined Rank	59

Country	Japan
Industry	Oil & Gas Production
Index	TOPIX 100, Low Emissions, Nikkei 225
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

10-Oct-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Inpex

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	85	84	80	85
GROWTH
GROWTH	3	79	81	15
SAFETY
SAFETY	70	62	61	70
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	74	58	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	96	87	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 10-Oct-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Inpex is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	85	84	80	85
GROWTH
GROWTH	3	79	81	15
SAFETY
SAFETY	70	62	61	70
COMBINED
COMBINED	58	96	94	59

Last update of combined financial performance: 10-Oct-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Inpex the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Inpex shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Inpex. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 86 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 86% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Inpex's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 90, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 75. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 52% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 48). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation based on Inpex's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Inpex has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Inpex shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	76	62	52	48
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	50	77	90	86
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	96	95	82	90
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	94	68	69	75
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	85	84	80	85

Last update of Value Rank: 10-Oct-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Inpex; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), Inpex shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Inpex. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 8, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 92% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 10, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 39. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 61% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 57, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 57% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Inpex, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	9	55	68	8
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	13	81	43	39
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	51	25	10
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	27	89	87	57
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	3	79	81	15

Last update of Growth Rank: 10-Oct-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Inpex.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), the company Inpex has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Inpex is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Inpex. Leverage is at a rank of 64, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 64% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 70, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 70% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 43, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 57% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), Inpex has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Inpex. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Inpex and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	18	57	54	64
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	82	37	21	43
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	82	59	83	70
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	70	62	61	70

Last update of Safety Rank: 10-Oct-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Inpex and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	68	37	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	32	24	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	86	86	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	46	77	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	74	58	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 10-Oct-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Inpex.
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