Fact based stock research
Valero (NYSE:VLO)

US91913Y1001

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Valero stock research in summary

valero.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with investment alternatives), Valero (Oil & Gas Refining, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Valero are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 27) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 90), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 60, is a buy recommendation based on Valero's financial characteristics. As the company Valero's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 49) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 27), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 90) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	49
Growth Rank	27
Safety Rank	90
Combined Rank	60

Country	USA
Industry	Oil & Gas Refining
Index	Low Emissions, S&P 500
Size class	X-Large

31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Valero

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	63	71	51	49
GROWTH
GROWTH	63	41	51	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	41	88	93	90
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	99	65	57	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	83	83	74	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 31-Jul-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Mar-2025. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Valero is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	63	71	51	49
GROWTH
GROWTH	63	41	51	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	41	88	93	90
COMBINED
COMBINED	57	85	73	60

Last update of combined financial performance: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Valero the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Valero shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Valero. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 72, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 72% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Valero's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 56% of alternatives (44% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 41 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 59% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 39, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Valero's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Valero may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	79	77	69	72
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	39	65	30	39
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	46	41	59	56
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	47	52	47	41
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	63	71	51	49

Last update of Value Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Valero; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), Valero shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Valero. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 59, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 35% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 30 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 70% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 35 and Stock Returns with a rank of 31 are also low (below 69% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Valero is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	43	4	48	30
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	55	46	37	35
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	64	93	48	59
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	47	53	51	31
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	63	41	51	27

Last update of Growth Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Valero.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2025, the company Valero has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Valero is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Valero. Leverage is at 72, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 72% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 85, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 85% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 80, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 80% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives), Valero has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Valero but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	64	62	66	72
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	73	81	79	85
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	15	88	80	80
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	41	88	93	90

Last update of Safety Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Valero and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	69	73	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	83	15	33	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	81	52	48	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	66	75	50	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	99	65	57	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Valero.
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