Fact based stock research
ODP (NasdaqGS:ODP)
US88337F1057
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
ODP stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), ODP (Specialty Stores, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ODP are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 54 (better than 54% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 74, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 7). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on ODP's financial characteristics. As the company ODP's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 54) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 7) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 74), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 54% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Specialty Stores |
| Index | NASDAQ |
| Size class | X-Large |
18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: ODP
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 70 |
|
67 |
|
55 |
|
54 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 47 |
|
25 |
|
33 |
|
7 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 28 |
|
91 |
|
64 |
|
74 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
19 |
|
80 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
51 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), ODP (Specialty Stores, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ODP are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 54 (better than 54% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 74, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 7). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on ODP's financial characteristics. As the company ODP's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 54) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 7) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 74), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 54% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 70 |
|
67 |
|
55 |
|
54 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 47 |
|
25 |
|
33 |
|
7 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 28 |
|
91 |
|
64 |
|
74 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 48 |
|
78 |
|
44 |
|
37 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), ODP shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half are above average for ODP. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 67, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 67% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning ODP's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 82% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 (dividends are expected to be higher than for 1% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 53% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for ODP to 47. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on ODP's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner on assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities, or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the low Dividend Yield is also explained as such companies tend to invest their income into market development. The other good value ranks for Sales and Profits are encouraging indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 91 |
|
86 |
|
71 |
|
67 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 55 |
|
47 |
|
75 |
|
82 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 90 |
|
84 |
|
61 |
|
47 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 70 |
|
67 |
|
55 |
|
54 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 7 (better than 7% compared with alternatives), ODP shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ODP. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 9, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 91% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 1, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 25. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 75% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 71, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 71% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 7, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for ODP, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 14 |
|
3 |
|
8 |
|
9 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 69 |
|
17 |
|
70 |
|
25 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
91 |
|
30 |
|
1 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 92 |
|
39 |
|
69 |
|
71 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 47 |
|
25 |
|
33 |
|
7 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), the company ODP has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of ODP is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for ODP. Leverage is at a rank of 73, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 73% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 84, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 84% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 16, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 84% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), ODP has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for ODP. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with ODP and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 27 |
|
73 |
|
73 |
|
73 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 22 |
|
78 |
|
18 |
|
16 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 70 |
|
72 |
|
73 |
|
84 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 28 |
|
91 |
|
64 |
|
74 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
18 |
|
68 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
45 |
|
92 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
30 |
|
67 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
19 |
|
80 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for ODP from April 18, 2024.
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