Fact based stock research
Northfield Bancorp (NasdaqGS:NFBK)

US66611T1088

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Northfield Bancorp stock research in summary

ir.enorthfield.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with investment alternatives), Northfield Bancorp (Thrifts & Mortgage Finance, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Northfield Bancorp are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 46 (worse than 54% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 27), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 46), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 26, is a hold recommendation based on Northfield Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Northfield Bancorp's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 46), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 27), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 46), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	46
Growth Rank	27
Safety Rank	46
Combined Rank	26

Country	USA
Industry	Thrifts & Mortgage Finance
Index	Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ
Size class	XX-Large

25-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Northfield Bancorp

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	43	11	20	46
GROWTH
GROWTH	67	66	15	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	37	25	43	46
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	62	50	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	27	20	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 25-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Northfield Bancorp is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	43	11	20	46
GROWTH
GROWTH	67	66	15	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	37	25	43	46
COMBINED
COMBINED	63	14	6	26

Last update of combined financial performance: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Northfield Bancorp the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with alternatives), Northfield Bancorp shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Northfield Bancorp. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 86% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 86), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 85, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 85% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 19 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 81% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Northfield Bancorp's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Northfield Bancorp with a rank of 31. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Northfield Bancorp's profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on Northfield Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Northfield Bancorp may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	21	10	11	19
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	42	29	14	31
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	56	38	66	85
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	75	65	78	86
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	43	11	20	46

Last update of Value Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Northfield Bancorp; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), Northfield Bancorp shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Northfield Bancorp. While Sales Growth ranks at 98, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 98% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 25, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 75% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 13. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 11 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 89% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	63	16	17	98
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	71	67	22	25
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	66	47	13
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	40	65	21	11
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	67	66	15	27

Last update of Growth Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Northfield Bancorp.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), the company Northfield Bancorp has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Northfield Bancorp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Northfield Bancorp. Refinancing is at 77, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 77% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 4, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 96% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with alternatives), Northfield Bancorp has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Northfield Bancorp could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Northfield Bancorp and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	29	2	4	4
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	65	69	61	77
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	31	40	75	58
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	37	25	43	46

Last update of Safety Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Northfield Bancorp and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	23	41	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	40	14	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	80	81	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	62	50	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Northfield Bancorp.
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