Fact based stock research
Nagoya Railroad (TSE:9048)

JP3649800004

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Nagoya Railroad stock research in summary

meitetsu.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with investment alternatives), Nagoya Railroad (Railroads, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nagoya Railroad are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 45), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation based on Nagoya Railroad's financial characteristics. As the company Nagoya Railroad's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 45), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 87% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	87
Growth Rank	17
Safety Rank	45
Combined Rank	51

Country	Japan
Industry	Railroads
Index
Size class	Large

31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Nagoya Railroad

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	79	59	77	87
GROWTH
GROWTH	25	47	30	17
SAFETY
SAFETY	34	55	52	45
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	12	39	63	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	31	54	67	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 31-Jul-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Mar-2025. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Nagoya Railroad is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	79	59	77	87
GROWTH
GROWTH	25	47	30	17
SAFETY
SAFETY	34	55	52	45
COMBINED
COMBINED	38	69	62	51

Last update of combined financial performance: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Nagoya Railroad the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2025, Nagoya Railroad shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Nagoya Railroad. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 82, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 82% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Nagoya Railroad's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 67% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 91. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 39% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Nagoya Railroad (a Dividend Yield Rank of 39). 61% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation based on Nagoya Railroad's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	87	78	84	82
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	35	47	51	67
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	84	74	87	91
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	31	19	26	39
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	79	59	77	87

Last update of Value Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Nagoya Railroad; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), Nagoya Railroad shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Nagoya Railroad. While Sales Growth ranks at 65, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 65% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 21, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 79% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 23. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 21 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 79% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	46	81	27	65
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	62	48	73	21
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	23	41	47	23
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	11	35	17	21
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	25	47	30	17

Last update of Growth Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Nagoya Railroad.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), the company Nagoya Railroad has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Nagoya Railroad is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Nagoya Railroad. Liquidity is at 78, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 78% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 13, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 87% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 38, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 62% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with alternatives), Nagoya Railroad has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	56	50	50	38
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	25	27	25	13
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	24	60	74	78
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	34	55	52	45

Last update of Safety Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Nagoya Railroad and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	49	37	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	50	11	92	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	25	57	39	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	17	76	61	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	12	39	63	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Nagoya Railroad.
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