Fact based stock research
McMillan Shakespeare (ASX:MMS)

AU000000MMS5

How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

McMillan Shakespeare stock research in summary

mmsg.com.au

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with investment alternatives), McMillan Shakespeare (HR- & Employment Services, Australia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of McMillan Shakespeare are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 11, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 65). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation based on McMillan Shakespeare's financial characteristics. As the company McMillan Shakespeare shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 47 (53% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 65% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 65). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 11 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for McMillan Shakespeare, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	47
Growth Rank	65
Safety Rank	11
Combined Rank	25

Country	Australia
Industry	HR- & Employment Services
Index	ASX 300
Size class	Medium

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: McMillan Shakespeare

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	27	75	51	47
GROWTH
GROWTH	41	57	75	65
SAFETY
SAFETY	49	24	6	11
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	12	59	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	21	42	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 18-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better McMillan Shakespeare is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	27	75	51	47
GROWTH
GROWTH	41	57	75	65
SAFETY
SAFETY	49	24	6	11
COMBINED
COMBINED	64	49	33	25

Last update of combined financial performance: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of McMillan Shakespeare the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), McMillan Shakespeare shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for McMillan Shakespeare. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 84 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 84% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning McMillan Shakespeare's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 5, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 5% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 75% of alternatives (only 25% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 0% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on McMillan Shakespeare's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	39	57	34	25
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	77	95	85	84
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	30	49	7	5
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	88	96	98	100
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	27	75	51	47

Last update of Value Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of McMillan Shakespeare; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), McMillan Shakespeare shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for McMillan Shakespeare. Profit Growth has a rank of 89, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 89% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 85 (above 85% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 4, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 96% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 23. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for McMillan Shakespeare. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	90	89	6	4
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	45	26	60	89
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	57	73	23
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	32	43	81	85
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	41	57	75	65

Last update of Growth Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of McMillan Shakespeare.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), the company McMillan Shakespeare has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of McMillan Shakespeare is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for McMillan Shakespeare. Liquidity is at 19, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 81% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 7, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 93% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 26 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 74% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 11 (worse than 89% compared with alternatives), McMillan Shakespeare has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of McMillan Shakespeare because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	48	16	8	7
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	34	60	18	26
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	82	23	17	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	49	24	6	11

Last update of Safety Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of McMillan Shakespeare and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	38	81	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	30	40	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	23	54	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	12	59	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for McMillan Shakespeare.
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