Fact based stock research
Japan Airlines (TSE:9201)

JP3705200008

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Japan Airlines stock research in summary

jal.co.jp


ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Japan Airlines (Airlines, Japan) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Japan Airlines are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 56), which means low debt burdens. ...read more


RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on Japan Airlines's financial characteristics. As the company Japan Airlines's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 95), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 56), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Japan Airlines. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more


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Country Japan
Industry Airlines
Index TOPIX 100
Size class X-Large

21-Mar-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.




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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Japan Airlines

RESEARCH HISTORY 2021 2022 2023 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

Most recent update of the stock research: 21-Mar-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Japan Airlines is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Japan Airlines (Airlines, Japan) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Japan Airlines are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 56), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on Japan Airlines's financial characteristics. As the company Japan Airlines's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 95), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 56), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Japan Airlines. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

RESEARCH HISTORY 2021 2022 2023 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

Last update of combined financial performance: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Japan Airlines the better the performance.


Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Japan Airlines shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Japan Airlines. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 80, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 80% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Japan Airlines's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 84% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 52 (dividends are expected to be higher than 52% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 52% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Japan Airlines to 48. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation based on Japan Airlines's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more


VALUE METRICS 2021 2022 2023 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

Last update of Value Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Japan Airlines; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.


Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Japan Airlines shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Japan Airlines. Sales Growth has a rank of 84 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 84% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 94, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 65, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 37, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 63% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS 2021 2022 2023 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

Last update of Growth Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Japan Airlines.


Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), the company Japan Airlines has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Japan Airlines is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Japan Airlines and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 81, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 40, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 60% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 39, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), Japan Airlines has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Japan Airlines are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Japan Airlines and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS 2021 2022 2023 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

Last update of Safety Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Japan Airlines and the more cash is available to service its debt.


Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT 2021 2022 2023 2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Japan Airlines.
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Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Japan Airlines from March 21, 2024.

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