Fact based stock research
International Paper (NYSE:IP)
US4601461035
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
International Paper stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with investment alternatives), International Paper (Paper Packaging, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of International Paper are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 76 (better than 76% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 63, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation based on International Paper's financial characteristics. As the company International Paper's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 76) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 63), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 76% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Paper Packaging |
| Index | Low Emissions, Dividends USA, Energy Efficient, Human Rights, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: International Paper
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 63 |
|
53 |
|
67 |
|
76 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 28 |
|
23 |
|
28 |
|
49 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 45 |
|
65 |
|
62 |
|
63 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
43 |
|
37 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
45 |
|
39 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with investment alternatives), International Paper (Paper Packaging, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of International Paper are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 76 (better than 76% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 63, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation based on International Paper's financial characteristics. As the company International Paper's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 76) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 63), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 76% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 63 |
|
53 |
|
67 |
|
76 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 28 |
|
23 |
|
28 |
|
49 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 45 |
|
65 |
|
62 |
|
63 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 39 |
|
37 |
|
58 |
|
70 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2024, International Paper shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for International Paper. Price-to-Sales is 68 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 68% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for International Paper's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 51% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 68. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of International Paper are expected to be higher than for 94% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 94). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 76, is a buy recommendation based on International Paper's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in International Paper based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 63 |
|
53 |
|
67 |
|
68 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 66 |
|
53 |
|
33 |
|
51 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 47 |
|
47 |
|
67 |
|
68 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 86 |
|
91 |
|
96 |
|
94 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 63 |
|
53 |
|
67 |
|
76 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), International Paper shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for International Paper. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 79, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 42% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 38 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 62% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 42 and Stock Returns with a rank of 47 are also low (below 53% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for International Paper is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 20 |
|
11 |
|
20 |
|
38 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 39 |
|
50 |
|
41 |
|
42 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
50 |
|
42 |
|
79 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 61 |
|
41 |
|
53 |
|
47 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 28 |
|
23 |
|
28 |
|
49 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), the company International Paper has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of International Paper is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for International Paper and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 65, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 65% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 48, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 52% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 44, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 56% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), International Paper has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for International Paper are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with International Paper and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 27 |
|
35 |
|
48 |
|
48 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 65 |
|
98 |
|
61 |
|
65 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 43 |
|
23 |
|
37 |
|
44 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 45 |
|
65 |
|
62 |
|
63 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
29 |
|
26 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
42 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
87 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
20 |
|
51 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
43 |
|
37 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for International Paper from April 18, 2024.
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