Fact based stock research
Gold Fields (JSE:GFI)

ZAE000018123

How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Gold Fields stock research in summary

goldfields.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with investment alternatives), Gold Fields (Gold Production, South Africa) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Gold Fields are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 24 (worse than 76% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 40, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 80). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation based on Gold Fields's financial characteristics. As the company Gold Fields shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 24 (76% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 80% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 80). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 40 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Gold Fields, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	24
Growth Rank	80
Safety Rank	40
Combined Rank	39

Country	South Africa
Industry	Gold Production
Index	Low Emissions, Copper, Energy Efficient, Human Rights, Gold, Low Waste, Recycling, Water Efficiency, JSE All Shares
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Insight 2018-04-06, Top 10 Stock.

25-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Gold Fields

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	81	27	26	24
GROWTH
GROWTH	11	7	87	80
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	39	35	40
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	14	24	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	1	24	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 25-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Gold Fields is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	81	27	26	24
GROWTH
GROWTH	11	7	87	80
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	39	35	40
COMBINED
COMBINED	60	3	44	39

Last update of combined financial performance: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Gold Fields the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 24 (worse than 76% compared with alternatives), Gold Fields shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Gold Fields. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 51 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Gold Fields's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 26, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 26% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 77% of alternatives (only 23% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 45% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 24, is a sell recommendation based on Gold Fields's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	63	37	32	23
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	72	44	46	51
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	50	44	25	26
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	64	46	54	55
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	81	27	26	24

Last update of Value Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Gold Fields; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Gold Fields shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Gold Fields. Sales Growth has a rank of 78 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 78% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 71, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 67, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 25, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 75% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 80, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	16	27	86	78
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	44	33	49	71
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	9	26	25
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	32	45	95	67
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	11	7	87	80

Last update of Growth Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Gold Fields.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 40 (better than 40% compared with alternatives), the company Gold Fields has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Gold Fields is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Gold Fields. Liquidity is at 72, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 72% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 20, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 80% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 47, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 53% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 40 (worse than 60% compared with alternatives), Gold Fields has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	12	34	48	47
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	62	41	17	20
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	58	60	62	72
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	33	39	35	40

Last update of Safety Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Gold Fields and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	35	16	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	11	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	24	84	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	44	37	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	14	24	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Gold Fields.
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