Fact based stock research
Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX)

US35671D8570

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Freeport-McMoRan stock research in summary

fcx.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Freeport-McMoRan (Copper, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Freeport-McMoRan are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 58), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation based on Freeport-McMoRan's financial characteristics. As the company Freeport-McMoRan's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 22) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 58) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	22
Growth Rank	49
Safety Rank	58
Combined Rank	29

Country	USA
Industry	Copper
Index	Copper, Low Waste, Recycling, SDG 12, SDG 3, SDG 5, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

21-Mar-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Freeport-McMoRan

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	1	23	20	22
GROWTH
GROWTH	94	95	49	49
SAFETY
SAFETY	72	45	54	58
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	59	72	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	59	45	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 21-Mar-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Freeport-McMoRan is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	1	23	20	22
GROWTH
GROWTH	94	95	49	49
SAFETY
SAFETY	72	45	54	58
COMBINED
COMBINED	61	60	24	29

Last update of combined financial performance: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Freeport-McMoRan the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% compared with alternatives), Freeport-McMoRan shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Freeport-McMoRan. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 58% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 27 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 73% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Freeport-McMoRan's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 28 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 72% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 4 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 96% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 22, is a sell recommendation based on Freeport-McMoRan's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Freeport-McMoRan? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Freeport-McMoRan only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	11	28	31	27
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	39	49	27	28
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	12	7	5	4
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	39	42	58
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	1	23	20	22

Last update of Value Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Freeport-McMoRan; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), Freeport-McMoRan shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Freeport-McMoRan. Profit Growth has a rank of 50, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 50% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 61 (above 61% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 39, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 61% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 38. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Freeport-McMoRan. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	83	65	43	39
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	1	88	25	50
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	75	58	38
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	85	87	57	61
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	94	95	49	49

Last update of Growth Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Freeport-McMoRan.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), the company Freeport-McMoRan has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Freeport-McMoRan is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Freeport-McMoRan. Refinancing is at 58, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 58% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 65, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 65% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 33, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 67% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), Freeport-McMoRan has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Freeport-McMoRan could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Freeport-McMoRan and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	77	21	28	33
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	19	98	55	58
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	83	27	62	65
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	72	45	54	58

Last update of Safety Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Freeport-McMoRan and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	52	43	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	94	64	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	28	78	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	40	78	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	59	72	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Freeport-McMoRan.
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