Fact based stock research
ENCE Energía y Celulosa (BME:ENC)
ES0130625512
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
ENCE Energía y Celulosa stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 4 (worse than 96% compared with investment alternatives), ENCE Energía y Celulosa (Paper Products, Spain) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ENCE Energía y Celulosa are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 52 (better than 52% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 18), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 1), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 4, is a sell recommendation based on ENCE Energía y Celulosa's financial characteristics. As the company ENCE Energía y Celulosa's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 52) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 18) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 1), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 52% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Spain |
| Industry | Paper Products |
| Index | Low Emissions, Dividends Europe, Low Waste, Renewables Users, Recycling, Sound Pay Europe |
| Size class | Large |
25-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: ENCE Energía y Celulosa
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 42 |
|
93 |
|
46 |
|
52 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 13 |
|
23 |
|
47 |
|
18 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 1 |
|
23 |
|
32 |
|
1 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
32 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
23 |
|
22 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 4 (worse than 96% compared with investment alternatives), ENCE Energía y Celulosa (Paper Products, Spain) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ENCE Energía y Celulosa are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 52 (better than 52% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 18), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 1), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 4, is a sell recommendation based on ENCE Energía y Celulosa's financial characteristics. As the company ENCE Energía y Celulosa's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 52) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 18) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 1), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 52% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 42 |
|
93 |
|
46 |
|
52 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 13 |
|
23 |
|
47 |
|
18 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 1 |
|
23 |
|
32 |
|
1 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 1 |
|
41 |
|
34 |
|
4 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with alternatives), ENCE Energía y Celulosa shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for ENCE Energía y Celulosa. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 53, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 53% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to ENCE Energía y Celulosa's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 48, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 52% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 51% of alternatives (only 49% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 53% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 52, is a buy recommendation based on ENCE Energía y Celulosa's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in ENCE Energía y Celulosa could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, ENCE Energía y Celulosa looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 71 |
|
75 |
|
51 |
|
53 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 1 |
|
51 |
|
1 |
|
47 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 88 |
|
88 |
|
51 |
|
49 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
91 |
|
84 |
|
48 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 42 |
|
93 |
|
46 |
|
52 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 18 (better than 18% compared with alternatives), ENCE Energía y Celulosa shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for ENCE Energía y Celulosa. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 98, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 98% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 10, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 90% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 20 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 34 (66% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 18, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 4 |
|
70 |
|
59 |
|
10 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
98 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
85 |
|
41 |
|
20 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 32 |
|
5 |
|
85 |
|
34 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 13 |
|
23 |
|
47 |
|
18 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), the company ENCE Energía y Celulosa has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of ENCE Energía y Celulosa is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for ENCE Energía y Celulosa. Liquidity is at 6, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 19, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 81% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 10 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 90% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 1 (worse than 99% compared with alternatives), ENCE Energía y Celulosa has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of ENCE Energía y Celulosa because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 20 |
|
32 |
|
58 |
|
19 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 1 |
|
69 |
|
25 |
|
10 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 11 |
|
6 |
|
40 |
|
6 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 1 |
|
23 |
|
32 |
|
1 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
85 |
|
83 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
37 |
|
21 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
12 |
|
52 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
32 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
32 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for ENCE Energía y Celulosa from April 25, 2024.
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