Fact based stock research
Dollar Tree (NasdaqGS:DLTR)

US2567461080

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Dollar Tree stock research in summary

dollartree.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with investment alternatives), Dollar Tree (General Merchandise Stores, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Dollar Tree are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 37 (worse than 63% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 47) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 81), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on Dollar Tree's financial characteristics. As the company Dollar Tree's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 37) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 47), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 81) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	37
Growth Rank	47
Safety Rank	81
Combined Rank	69

Country	USA
Industry	General Merchandise Stores
Index	NASDAQ 100, NASDAQ, S&P US Luxury, S&P 500
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Dollar Tree

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	27	26	55	37
GROWTH
GROWTH	35	39	25	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	50	67	93	81
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	39	46	27	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	21	30	46	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 31-Jul-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 1-Feb-2025. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Dollar Tree is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	27	26	55	37
GROWTH
GROWTH	35	39	25	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	50	67	93	81
COMBINED
COMBINED	15	33	72	69

Last update of combined financial performance: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Dollar Tree the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with alternatives), Dollar Tree shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Dollar Tree. Only Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value with a rank of 58, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 58% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Dollar Tree's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales is 39 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 61% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Dollar Tree's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 32 and for dividend yield, which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Dollar Tree's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then Dollar Tree is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	34	35	57	39
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	38	37	73	58
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	49	49	56	32
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	27	26	55	37

Last update of Value Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Dollar Tree; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), Dollar Tree shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Dollar Tree. Sales Growth has a rank of 65 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 65% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 57, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 53, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 24, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 76% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	57	62	48	65
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	14	39	31	57
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	62	51	50	24
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	53	37	15	53
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	35	39	25	47

Last update of Growth Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Dollar Tree.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2025, the company Dollar Tree has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Dollar Tree is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Dollar Tree. Liquidity is at 100, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 100% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 37, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 42, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives), Dollar Tree has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	60	64	61	42
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	34	42	51	37
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	50	69	100	100
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	50	67	93	81

Last update of Safety Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Dollar Tree and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	55	27	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	50	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	41	36	17	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	68	73	40	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	39	46	27	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Dollar Tree.
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