Fact based stock research
Deutsche Post (XTRA:DPW)

DE0005552004

How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Deutsche Post stock research in summary

dpdhl.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Deutsche Post (Air Freight & Logistics, Germany) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Deutsche Post are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 71, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 48). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Deutsche Post's financial characteristics. As the company Deutsche Post's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 53) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 48) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 71), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 53% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	53
Growth Rank	48
Safety Rank	71
Combined Rank	63

Country	Germany
Industry	Air Freight & Logistics
Index	CDAX, DAX 40, EURO STOXX 50, Low Emissions, Customer Focus EU, Dividends Europe, Employee Focus EU, Energy Efficient, Human Rights
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

25-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Deutsche Post

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	55	40	53
GROWTH
GROWTH	81	37	42	48
SAFETY
SAFETY	47	63	65	71
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	57	90	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	61	80	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 25-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Deutsche Post is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	55	40	53
GROWTH
GROWTH	81	37	42	48
SAFETY
SAFETY	47	63	65	71
COMBINED
COMBINED	54	54	42	63

Last update of combined financial performance: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Deutsche Post the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Deutsche Post shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Deutsche Post. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 69, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Deutsche Post's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 68, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 68% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 60% of alternatives (only 40% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 62% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation based on Deutsche Post's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	43	61	62	69
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	54	54	34	38
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	14	27	34	40
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	78	76	60	68
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	44	55	40	53

Last update of Value Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Deutsche Post; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 48 (better than 48% compared with alternatives), Deutsche Post shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Deutsche Post. Sales Growth has a rank of 61 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 61% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 44% of competitors with a rank of 57. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 44, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 56% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 30. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	77	18	44	61
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	64	55	28	44
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	43	41	57
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	61	61	74	30
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	81	37	42	48

Last update of Growth Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Deutsche Post.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), the company Deutsche Post has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Deutsche Post is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Deutsche Post. Leverage is at a rank of 62, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 62% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 78, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 78% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 33, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Deutsche Post has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Deutsche Post. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Deutsche Post and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	57	50	66	62
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	26	41	39	33
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	62	77	71	78
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	47	63	65	71

Last update of Safety Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Deutsche Post and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	74	64	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	18	83	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	13	64	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	94	71	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	57	90	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Deutsche Post.
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