Fact based stock research
Covenant Transportation (NasdaqGS:CVTI)
US22284P1057
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Covenant Transportation stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Covenant Transportation (Trucking, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Covenant Transportation are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 91), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 65), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on Covenant Transportation's financial characteristics. As the company Covenant Transportation's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 91), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 65), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Covenant Transportation. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Trucking |
Index | NASDAQ |
Size class | Large |
3-Oct-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Covenant Transportation
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 58 |
|
93 |
|
86 |
|
83 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 70 |
|
44 |
|
77 |
|
91 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 74 |
|
64 |
|
82 |
|
65 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
5 |
|
4 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
48 |
|
83 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Covenant Transportation (Trucking, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Covenant Transportation are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 91), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 65), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on Covenant Transportation's financial characteristics. As the company Covenant Transportation's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 91), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 65), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Covenant Transportation. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 58 |
|
93 |
|
86 |
|
83 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 70 |
|
44 |
|
77 |
|
91 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 74 |
|
64 |
|
82 |
|
65 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 88 |
|
87 |
|
100 |
|
96 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Covenant Transportation shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Covenant Transportation. Price-to-Sales is 70 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 70% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Covenant Transportation's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 76% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 64. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Covenant Transportation are expected to be higher than for 50% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 50). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation based on Covenant Transportation's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Covenant Transportation based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 91 |
|
89 |
|
81 |
|
70 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 51 |
|
93 |
|
79 |
|
76 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 68 |
|
85 |
|
67 |
|
64 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
54 |
|
52 |
|
50 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 58 |
|
93 |
|
86 |
|
83 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Covenant Transportation shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Covenant Transportation. Sales Growth has a value of 70, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 70% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 54 and for Capital Growth with 95. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 63, which means they have been higher than 63% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Covenant Transportation exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 43 |
|
22 |
|
59 |
|
70 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 4 |
|
84 |
|
40 |
|
54 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
11 |
|
89 |
|
95 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 94 |
|
79 |
|
73 |
|
63 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 70 |
|
44 |
|
77 |
|
91 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), the company Covenant Transportation has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Covenant Transportation is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Covenant Transportation. Leverage is at 66, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 66% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 62, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 62% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 61, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Covenant Transportation has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Covenant Transportation but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 56 |
|
78 |
|
76 |
|
66 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 70 |
|
50 |
|
60 |
|
62 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 68 |
|
39 |
|
80 |
|
61 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 74 |
|
64 |
|
82 |
|
65 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
27 |
|
56 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
13 |
|
11 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
33 |
|
22 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
5 |
|
4 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Covenant Transportation from October 3, 2024.
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