Fact based stock research
ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP)

US20825C1045

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

ConocoPhillips stock research in summary

conocophillips.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with investment alternatives), ConocoPhillips (Oil & Gas Production, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ConocoPhillips are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 25 (worse than 75% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 27) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 86), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 42, is a hold recommendation based on ConocoPhillips's financial characteristics. As the company ConocoPhillips's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 25) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 27), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 86) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	25
Growth Rank	27
Safety Rank	86
Combined Rank	42

Country	USA
Industry	Oil & Gas Production
Index	Low Emissions, Employee Focus US, Energy Efficient, Diversity USA, Water Efficiency, S&P 500
Size class	X-Large

31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: ConocoPhillips

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	21	10	34	25
GROWTH
GROWTH	35	39	22	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	79	76	78	86
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	41	75	88	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	29	42	55	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 31-Jul-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Mar-2025. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better ConocoPhillips is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	21	10	34	25
GROWTH
GROWTH	35	39	22	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	79	76	78	86
COMBINED
COMBINED	39	33	35	42

Last update of combined financial performance: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of ConocoPhillips the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with alternatives), ConocoPhillips shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for ConocoPhillips. Price-to-Sales is 34 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 66% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning ConocoPhillips's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 47, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of ConocoPhillips. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 37 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 56% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation based on ConocoPhillips's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for ConocoPhillips? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as ConocoPhillips? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. ConocoPhillips may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	32	28	52	34
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	13	13	34	37
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	37	25	30	47
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	49	50	62	44
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	21	10	34	25

Last update of Value Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of ConocoPhillips; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), ConocoPhillips shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for ConocoPhillips. Sales Growth has a rank of 32, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 68% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 34, and Capital Growth with 39. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 23, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 77% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	32	16	30	32
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	90	59	67	34
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	30	49	24	39
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	41	65	24	23
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	35	39	22	27

Last update of Growth Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of ConocoPhillips.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2025, the company ConocoPhillips has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of ConocoPhillips is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for ConocoPhillips. Leverage is at 70, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 70% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 75, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 86, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives), ConocoPhillips has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with ConocoPhillips but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	67	58	53	70
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	100	88	78	75
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	17	75	75	86
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	79	76	78	86

Last update of Safety Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of ConocoPhillips and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	89	87	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	13	17	62	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	8	54	87	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	58	75	33	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	41	75	88	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for ConocoPhillips.
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