Fact based stock research
Comerica (NYSE:CMA)
US2003401070
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Comerica stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Comerica (Regional Banks, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Comerica are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 96 (better than 96% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 55) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 17), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation based on Comerica's financial characteristics. As the company Comerica's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 96) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 55), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 17) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Comerica
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 48 |
|
21 |
|
89 |
|
96 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 85 |
|
99 |
|
1 |
|
55 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 82 |
|
25 |
|
5 |
|
17 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
56 |
|
17 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
51 |
|
13 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Comerica (Regional Banks, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Comerica are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 96 (better than 96% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 55) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 17), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation based on Comerica's financial characteristics. As the company Comerica's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 96) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 55), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 17) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 48 |
|
21 |
|
89 |
|
96 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 85 |
|
99 |
|
1 |
|
55 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 82 |
|
25 |
|
5 |
|
17 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 89 |
|
42 |
|
21 |
|
70 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Comerica shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Comerica. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 85, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 85% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Comerica's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 65% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 86 (dividends are expected to be higher than 86% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 59% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Comerica to 41. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 96, is a buy recommendation based on Comerica's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 61 |
|
26 |
|
95 |
|
85 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 68 |
|
9 |
|
86 |
|
65 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 23 |
|
11 |
|
13 |
|
41 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 91 |
|
81 |
|
89 |
|
86 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 48 |
|
21 |
|
89 |
|
96 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Comerica shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Comerica. Sales Growth has a rank of 68 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 68% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 6% of competitors with a rank of 91, and Stock Returns with the rank of 61 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 6 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 94% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, Comerica is a good growth stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 76 |
|
46 |
|
4 |
|
68 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 63 |
|
90 |
|
43 |
|
6 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
74 |
|
3 |
|
91 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 71 |
|
95 |
|
19 |
|
61 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 85 |
|
99 |
|
1 |
|
55 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), the company Comerica has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Comerica is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Comerica. Liquidity is at 37, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 63% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 20, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 80% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 49 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 51% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with alternatives), Comerica has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Comerica because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 94 |
|
30 |
|
12 |
|
20 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 29 |
|
62 |
|
43 |
|
49 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 74 |
|
13 |
|
30 |
|
37 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 82 |
|
25 |
|
5 |
|
17 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
18 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
48 |
|
31 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
63 |
|
13 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
72 |
|
36 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
56 |
|
17 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Comerica from April 18, 2024.
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