Fact based stock research
Cheniere Energy (AMEX:LNG)

US16411R2085

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Cheniere Energy stock research in summary

cheniere.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with investment alternatives), Cheniere Energy (Oil & Gas Transportation, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Cheniere Energy are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 7 (worse than 93% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 25) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 79), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation based on Cheniere Energy's financial characteristics. As the company Cheniere Energy's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 7) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 25), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 79) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	7
Growth Rank	25
Safety Rank	79
Combined Rank	25

Country	USA
Industry	Oil & Gas Transportation
Index
Size class	XX-Large

17-Oct-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Cheniere Energy

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	52	11	6	7
GROWTH
GROWTH	38	43	77	25
SAFETY
SAFETY	7	51	26	79
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	89	100	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	41	50	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 17-Oct-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Cheniere Energy is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	52	11	6	7
GROWTH
GROWTH	38	43	77	25
SAFETY
SAFETY	7	51	26	79
COMBINED
COMBINED	10	15	23	25

Last update of combined financial performance: 17-Oct-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Cheniere Energy the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 7 (worse than 93% compared with alternatives), Cheniere Energy shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Cheniere Energy. Price-to-Sales is 36 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 64% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Cheniere Energy's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 4, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Cheniere Energy. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 23 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 77% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 7, is a sell recommendation based on Cheniere Energy's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Cheniere Energy? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Cheniere Energy? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Cheniere Energy may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	45	64	28	36
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	3	7	9	23
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	100	1	1	4
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	51	35	25	23
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	52	11	6	7

Last update of Value Rank: 17-Oct-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Cheniere Energy; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), Cheniere Energy shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Cheniere Energy. Sales Growth has a rank of 85 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 85% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 6% of competitors with a rank of 50, and Stock Returns with the rank of 51 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 6 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 94% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, Cheniere Energy is a good growth stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	72	74	8	85
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	17	60	100	6
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	40	66	50
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	71	29	77	51
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	38	43	77	25

Last update of Growth Rank: 17-Oct-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Cheniere Energy.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Cheniere Energy has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Cheniere Energy is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Cheniere Energy. Refinancing is at 65, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 65% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 86, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 12, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 88% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives), Cheniere Energy has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Cheniere Energy could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Cheniere Energy and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	12	7	2	12
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	16	63	86	65
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	24	77	7	86
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	7	51	26	79

Last update of Safety Rank: 17-Oct-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Cheniere Energy and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	98	100	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	36	53	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	54	98	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	88	93	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	89	100	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 17-Oct-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Cheniere Energy.
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