Fact based stock research
Carnival Corp (NYSE:CCL)
PA1436583006
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Carnival Corp stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 44 (worse than 56% compared with investment alternatives), Carnival Corp (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Carnival Corp are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 66 (better than 66% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 68) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 8), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 44, is a hold recommendation based on Carnival Corp's financial characteristics. As the company Carnival Corp's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 66) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 68), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 8) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines |
| Index | FTSE All Shares, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, Low Emissions, Diversity USA, Human Rights, Low Waste, Recycling, S&P US Luxury, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
25-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Carnival Corp
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 6 |
|
59 |
|
30 |
|
66 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 3 |
|
59 |
|
97 |
|
68 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 1 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
8 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
1 |
|
43 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
17 |
|
28 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 44 (worse than 56% compared with investment alternatives), Carnival Corp (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Carnival Corp are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 66 (better than 66% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 68) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 8), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 44, is a hold recommendation based on Carnival Corp's financial characteristics. As the company Carnival Corp's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 66) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 68), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 8) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 6 |
|
59 |
|
30 |
|
66 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 3 |
|
59 |
|
97 |
|
68 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 1 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
8 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 1 |
|
37 |
|
37 |
|
44 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), Carnival Corp shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half are above average for Carnival Corp. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 73, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 73% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Carnival Corp's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 78% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 (dividends are expected to be higher than for 1% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 51% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Carnival Corp to 49. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 66, is a buy recommendation based on Carnival Corp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner on assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities, or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the low Dividend Yield is also explained as such companies tend to invest their income into market development. The other good value ranks for Sales and Profits are encouraging indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 1 |
|
62 |
|
62 |
|
73 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 1 |
|
3 |
|
40 |
|
78 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 69 |
|
73 |
|
41 |
|
49 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 6 |
|
59 |
|
30 |
|
66 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 68 (better than 68% compared with alternatives), Carnival Corp shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Carnival Corp. Profit Growth has a rank of 100, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 100% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 86 (above 86% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 47, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 53% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 6. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 68, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Carnival Corp. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 3 |
|
83 |
|
80 |
|
47 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 3 |
|
50 |
|
75 |
|
100 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
55 |
|
93 |
|
6 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 61 |
|
41 |
|
99 |
|
86 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 3 |
|
59 |
|
97 |
|
68 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 8 (better than 8% compared with alternatives), the company Carnival Corp has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Carnival Corp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Carnival Corp. Liquidity is at 18, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 34, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 66% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 12 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with alternatives), Carnival Corp has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Carnival Corp because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 2 |
|
46 |
|
28 |
|
34 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 6 |
|
4 |
|
14 |
|
12 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 19 |
|
25 |
|
10 |
|
18 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 1 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
8 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
15 |
|
60 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
3 |
|
64 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
48 |
|
51 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
2 |
|
13 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
1 |
|
43 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Carnival Corp from April 25, 2024.
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