Fact based stock research
Cal-Maine Foods (NasdaqGS:CALM)

US1280302027

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Cal-Maine Foods stock research in summary

calmainefoods.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with investment alternatives), Cal-Maine Foods (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Cal-Maine Foods are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 25) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on Cal-Maine Foods's financial characteristics. As the company Cal-Maine Foods's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 49) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 25), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	49
Growth Rank	25
Safety Rank	100
Combined Rank	67

Country	USA
Industry	Packaged Foods & Meats
Index	Dividends USA, Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ, S&P US Food & Beverage
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Cal-Maine Foods

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	33	65	30	49
GROWTH
GROWTH	7	77	29	25
SAFETY
SAFETY	61	69	100	100
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	52	38	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	83	50	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 18-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 2-Mar-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Cal-Maine Foods is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	33	65	30	49
GROWTH
GROWTH	7	77	29	25
SAFETY
SAFETY	61	69	100	100
COMBINED
COMBINED	26	81	60	67

Last update of combined financial performance: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Cal-Maine Foods the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Cal-Maine Foods shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Cal-Maine Foods. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 98% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 98), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 56, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 56% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 38 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 62% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Cal-Maine Foods's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Cal-Maine Foods with a rank of 17. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 83% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Cal-Maine Foods's profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Cal-Maine Foods's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Cal-Maine Foods may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	56	65	43	38
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	26	8	15	17
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	69	62	61	56
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	100	43	98
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	33	65	30	49

Last update of Value Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Cal-Maine Foods; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), Cal-Maine Foods shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Cal-Maine Foods. Capital Growth has a rank of 79, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 1% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 71 (above 71% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 1, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 99% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 1. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Cal-Maine Foods, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	29	36	6	1
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	73	100	6	1
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	65	67	79
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	21	57	65	71
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	7	77	29	25

Last update of Growth Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Cal-Maine Foods.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Cal-Maine Foods has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Cal-Maine Foods is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Cal-Maine Foods. Leverage is at 100, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 82, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 82% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 94, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), Cal-Maine Foods has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Cal-Maine Foods but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	83	98	100	100
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	58	75	84	82
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	24	4	96	94
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	61	69	100	100

Last update of Safety Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Cal-Maine Foods and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	19	13	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	99	98	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	45	47	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	36	21	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	52	38	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Cal-Maine Foods.
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