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C.H. Robinson (NasdaqGS:CHRW)

US12541W2098

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

C.H. Robinson stock research in summary

chrobinson.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 22 (worse than 78% compared with investment alternatives), C.H. Robinson (Air Freight & Logistics, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of C.H. Robinson are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 63, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 10). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 22, is a sell recommendation based on C.H. Robinson's financial characteristics. As the company C.H. Robinson's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 51) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 10) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 63), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 51% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	51
Growth Rank	10
Safety Rank	63
Combined Rank	22

Country	USA
Industry	Air Freight & Logistics
Index	Dividends USA, NASDAQ, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: C.H. Robinson

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	70	61	53	51
GROWTH
GROWTH	56	56	37	10
SAFETY
SAFETY	85	82	50	63
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	19	30	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	64	30	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 18-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better C.H. Robinson is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	70	61	53	51
GROWTH
GROWTH	56	56	37	10
SAFETY
SAFETY	85	82	50	63
COMBINED
COMBINED	76	82	41	22

Last update of combined financial performance: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of C.H. Robinson the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), C.H. Robinson shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for C.H. Robinson. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 71, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning C.H. Robinson's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 88, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 88% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 78% of alternatives (only 22% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 70% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation based on C.H. Robinson's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	86	63	66	71
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	73	40	30	30
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	6	11	15	22
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	69	90	92	88
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	70	61	53	51

Last update of Value Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of C.H. Robinson; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), C.H. Robinson shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for C.H. Robinson. Sales Growth has a rank of 31, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 69% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 28, and Capital Growth with 33. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 20, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 80% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	81	8	19	31
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	16	57	17	28
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	90	98	33
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	18	57	33	20
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	56	56	37	10

Last update of Growth Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of C.H. Robinson.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), the company C.H. Robinson has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of C.H. Robinson is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for C.H. Robinson. Refinancing is at 82, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 82% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 55, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 55% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 42, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), C.H. Robinson has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and C.H. Robinson could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with C.H. Robinson and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	63	66	26	42
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	84	56	62	82
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	71	85	63	55
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	85	82	50	63

Last update of Safety Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of C.H. Robinson and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	34	9	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	7	48	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	64	47	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	46	50	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	19	30	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for C.H. Robinson.
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