Fact based stock research
Barry Callebaut (SWX:BARN)
CH0009002962
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Barry Callebaut stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 11 (worse than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Barry Callebaut (Packaged Foods & Meats, Switzerland) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Barry Callebaut are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 23 (worse than 77% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 30), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 41), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation based on Barry Callebaut's financial characteristics. As the company Barry Callebaut's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 23), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 30), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 41), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Switzerland |
| Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| Index | Human Rights, Renewables Users, SDG 1, SDG 12, SDG 13, SDG 15, SDG 8, SPI |
| Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Gold Winner CEO, Insight 2022-12-15, Top 10 Stock.
21-Mar-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Barry Callebaut
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 11 |
|
16 |
|
19 |
|
23 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 72 |
|
78 |
|
40 |
|
30 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 36 |
|
50 |
|
34 |
|
41 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
46 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
34 |
|
23 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 11 (worse than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Barry Callebaut (Packaged Foods & Meats, Switzerland) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Barry Callebaut are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 23 (worse than 77% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 30), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 41), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation based on Barry Callebaut's financial characteristics. As the company Barry Callebaut's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 23), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 30), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 41), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 11 |
|
16 |
|
19 |
|
23 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 72 |
|
78 |
|
40 |
|
30 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 36 |
|
50 |
|
34 |
|
41 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 11 |
|
40 |
|
17 |
|
11 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with alternatives), Barry Callebaut shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Barry Callebaut. Price-to-Sales is 46 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 54% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Barry Callebaut's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 36, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Barry Callebaut. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 14 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 67% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation based on Barry Callebaut's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Barry Callebaut? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Barry Callebaut? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Barry Callebaut may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 36 |
|
31 |
|
40 |
|
46 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 17 |
|
11 |
|
17 |
|
14 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 19 |
|
16 |
|
23 |
|
36 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 23 |
|
23 |
|
24 |
|
33 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 11 |
|
16 |
|
19 |
|
23 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 30 (better than 30% compared with alternatives), Barry Callebaut shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Barry Callebaut. Sales Growth has a rank of 59 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 59% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 6% of competitors with a rank of 95. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 6, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 94% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 8. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 30, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 49 |
|
65 |
|
85 |
|
59 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 60 |
|
58 |
|
9 |
|
6 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
71 |
|
90 |
|
95 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 67 |
|
50 |
|
6 |
|
8 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 72 |
|
78 |
|
40 |
|
30 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), the company Barry Callebaut has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Barry Callebaut is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Barry Callebaut and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 62, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 62% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 38, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 62% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 45, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 55% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), Barry Callebaut has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Barry Callebaut are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Barry Callebaut and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 40 |
|
25 |
|
35 |
|
38 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 49 |
|
100 |
|
58 |
|
62 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 44 |
|
34 |
|
32 |
|
45 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 36 |
|
50 |
|
34 |
|
41 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
58 |
|
56 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
63 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
19 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
69 |
|
59 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
46 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Barry Callebaut from March 21, 2024.
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