Fact based stock research
Banque Populaire (CBSE:BCP)
MA0000011884
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Banque Populaire stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with investment alternatives), Banque Populaire (Diversified Banks, Morocco) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Banque Populaire are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 27), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation based on Banque Populaire's financial characteristics. As the company Banque Populaire's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 31), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 27), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Morocco |
| Industry | Diversified Banks |
| Index | |
| Size class | XX-Large |
25-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Banque Populaire
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 6 |
|
33 |
|
35 |
|
31 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 28 |
|
55 |
|
39 |
|
49 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 67 |
|
55 |
|
55 |
|
27 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
77 |
|
71 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
74 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with investment alternatives), Banque Populaire (Diversified Banks, Morocco) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Banque Populaire are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 27), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation based on Banque Populaire's financial characteristics. As the company Banque Populaire's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 31), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 27), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 6 |
|
33 |
|
35 |
|
31 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 28 |
|
55 |
|
39 |
|
49 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 67 |
|
55 |
|
55 |
|
27 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 22 |
|
45 |
|
23 |
|
5 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% compared with alternatives), Banque Populaire shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Banque Populaire. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 51, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Banque Populaire's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 38, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 62% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 67% of alternatives (only 33% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 85% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation based on Banque Populaire's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Banque Populaire could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Banque Populaire looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 19 |
|
36 |
|
50 |
|
51 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 4 |
|
21 |
|
17 |
|
15 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 16 |
|
32 |
|
36 |
|
33 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 28 |
|
50 |
|
43 |
|
38 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 6 |
|
33 |
|
35 |
|
31 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), Banque Populaire shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Banque Populaire. Capital Growth has a rank of 63, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 49% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 71 (above 71% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 20, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 80% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 49. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Banque Populaire, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 9 |
|
24 |
|
17 |
|
20 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
86 |
|
83 |
|
49 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
27 |
|
13 |
|
63 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 46 |
|
65 |
|
73 |
|
71 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 28 |
|
55 |
|
39 |
|
49 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), the company Banque Populaire has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Banque Populaire is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Banque Populaire and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 73, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 73% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 42, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 1, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Banque Populaire has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Banque Populaire are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Banque Populaire and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 72 |
|
82 |
|
90 |
|
42 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 32 |
|
55 |
|
67 |
|
73 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 74 |
|
21 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 67 |
|
55 |
|
55 |
|
27 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
17 |
|
15 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
89 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
66 |
|
45 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
100 |
|
84 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
77 |
|
71 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Banque Populaire from April 25, 2024.
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