Fact based stock research
Deutsche Börse (XTRA:DB1)

DE0005810055

How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Deutsche Börse stock research in summary

deutsche-boerse.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with investment alternatives), Deutsche Börse (Financial Exchanges & Data, Germany) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Deutsche Börse are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 10 (worse than 90% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 34) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 51), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation based on Deutsche Börse's financial characteristics. As the company Deutsche Börse's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 10) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 34), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 51) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	10
Growth Rank	34
Safety Rank	51
Combined Rank	10

Country	Germany
Industry	Financial Exchanges & Data
Index	CDAX, DAX 40, EURO STOXX 50, Employee Focus EU, Renewables Users
Size class	X-Large

25-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Deutsche Börse

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	37	10	12	10
GROWTH
GROWTH	21	59	57	34
SAFETY
SAFETY	10	57	55	51
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	33	76	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	23	48	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 25-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Deutsche Börse is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	37	10	12	10
GROWTH
GROWTH	21	59	57	34
SAFETY
SAFETY	10	57	55	51
COMBINED
COMBINED	1	30	26	10

Last update of combined financial performance: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Deutsche Börse the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with alternatives), Deutsche Börse shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Deutsche Börse. Price-to-Sales is 28 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 72% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Deutsche Börse's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 19, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Deutsche Börse. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 19 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 81% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation based on Deutsche Börse's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Deutsche Börse? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Deutsche Börse? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Deutsche Börse may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	49	18	26	28
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	40	18	25	19
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	25	16	16	19
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	50	22	18	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	37	10	12	10

Last update of Value Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Deutsche Börse; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 34 (better than 34% compared with alternatives), Deutsche Börse shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Deutsche Börse. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 70, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 46% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 31 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 69% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 46 and Stock Returns with a rank of 41 are also low (below 59% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 34, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Deutsche Börse is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	50	54	72	31
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	56	34	79	46
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	56	10	70
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	19	57	60	41
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	21	59	57	34

Last update of Growth Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Deutsche Börse.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), the company Deutsche Börse has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Deutsche Börse is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Deutsche Börse. Refinancing is at 85, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 85% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 14, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 86% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Deutsche Börse has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Deutsche Börse could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Deutsche Börse and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	17	14	16	14
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	6	81	83	85
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	32	72	58	58
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	10	57	55	51

Last update of Safety Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Deutsche Börse and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	43	37	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	53	71	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	28	83	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	48	71	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	33	76	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Deutsche Börse.
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