Fact based stock research
Astra Agro Lestari (IDX:AALI)
ID1000066004
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Astra Agro Lestari stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Astra Agro Lestari (Agricultural Products, Indonesia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Astra Agro Lestari are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 79, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 5). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on Astra Agro Lestari's financial characteristics. As the company Astra Agro Lestari's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 5) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 79), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 61% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Indonesia |
| Industry | Agricultural Products |
| Index | |
| Size class | Large |
2-May-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Astra Agro Lestari
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 95 |
|
87 |
|
65 |
|
61 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 60 |
|
61 |
|
7 |
|
5 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 87 |
|
77 |
|
81 |
|
79 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
19 |
|
37 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
75 |
|
37 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Astra Agro Lestari (Agricultural Products, Indonesia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Astra Agro Lestari are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 79, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 5). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on Astra Agro Lestari's financial characteristics. As the company Astra Agro Lestari's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 5) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 79), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 61% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 95 |
|
87 |
|
65 |
|
61 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 60 |
|
61 |
|
7 |
|
5 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 87 |
|
77 |
|
81 |
|
79 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 100 |
|
95 |
|
53 |
|
46 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Astra Agro Lestari shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Astra Agro Lestari. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 68, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 68% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Astra Agro Lestari's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 70% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 71. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 38% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Astra Agro Lestari (a Dividend Yield Rank of 38). 62% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Astra Agro Lestari's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 72 |
|
69 |
|
67 |
|
68 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 87 |
|
72 |
|
62 |
|
70 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 90 |
|
93 |
|
78 |
|
71 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 73 |
|
75 |
|
51 |
|
38 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 95 |
|
87 |
|
65 |
|
61 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 5 (better than 5% compared with alternatives), Astra Agro Lestari shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Astra Agro Lestari. Sales Growth has a rank of 31, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 69% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 34, and Capital Growth with 16. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 17, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 83% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 67 |
|
19 |
|
14 |
|
31 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 18 |
|
92 |
|
25 |
|
34 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
87 |
|
29 |
|
16 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 18 |
|
11 |
|
37 |
|
17 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 60 |
|
61 |
|
7 |
|
5 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Astra Agro Lestari has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Astra Agro Lestari is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Astra Agro Lestari.Leverage is at 81, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 81% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 74, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 74% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 43, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 57% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives), Astra Agro Lestari has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Astra Agro Lestari more challenging. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 65 |
|
70 |
|
80 |
|
81 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 61 |
|
91 |
|
73 |
|
74 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 73 |
|
34 |
|
47 |
|
43 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 87 |
|
77 |
|
81 |
|
79 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
52 |
|
25 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
21 |
|
24 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
27 |
|
76 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
19 |
|
37 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Astra Agro Lestari from May 2, 2024.
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