Fact based stock research
Nutrien (TSX:NTR)

CA67077M1086

How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Nutrien stock research in summary

nutrien.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Nutrien (Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nutrien are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 98 (better than 98% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 4), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 48), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 52, is a buy recommendation based on Nutrien's financial characteristics. As the company Nutrien's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 98) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 4) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 48), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 98% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	98
Growth Rank	4
Safety Rank	48
Combined Rank	52

Country	Canada
Industry	Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
Index	Low Emissions, Human Rights, TSX Composite
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

21-Mar-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Nutrien

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	70	88	100	98
GROWTH
GROWTH	52	94	4	4
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	90	70	48
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	76	35	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	100	50	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 21-Mar-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Nutrien is in the corresponding investment strategy.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.

Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	70	88	100	98
GROWTH
GROWTH	52	94	4	4
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	90	70	48
COMBINED
COMBINED	50	100	65	52

Last update of combined financial performance: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Nutrien the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Nutrien shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Nutrien. Price-to-Sales is 69 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Nutrien's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 86% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 94. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Nutrien are expected to be higher than for 96% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 96). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 98, is a buy recommendation based on Nutrien's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Nutrien based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	50	58	72	69
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	53	88	88	86
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	68	92	94	94
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	84	78	90	96
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	70	88	100	98

Last update of Value Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Nutrien; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 4 (better than 4% compared with alternatives), Nutrien shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Nutrien. Sales Growth has a rank of 10, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 90% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 26, and Capital Growth with 19. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 14, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 86% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 4, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	36	90	14	10
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	13	79	12	26
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	39	11	19
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	60	80	16	14
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	52	94	4	4

Last update of Growth Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Nutrien.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 48 (better than 48% compared with alternatives), the company Nutrien has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Nutrien is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Nutrien. Leverage is at a rank of 69, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 69% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 60, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 60% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 30, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 70% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with alternatives), Nutrien has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Nutrien. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Nutrien and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	16	79	73	69
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	82	94	26	30
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	23	42	88	60
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	33	90	70	48

Last update of Safety Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Nutrien and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	59	34	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	7	25	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	88	46	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	67	72	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	76	35	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 21-Mar-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Nutrien.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.